Calculation of long term averages of surface air temperature based on insolation data
Lomonosov Moscow State University
Journal: Geophysical processes and biosphere
Tome: 16
Number: 1
Year: 2017
Pages: 5-22
UDK: 551.52
DOI: 10.21455/GPB2017.1-1
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Fedorov V., Grebennikov P. Calculation of long term averages of surface air temperature based on insolation data // . 2017. Т. 16. № 1. С. 5-22. DOI: 10.21455/GPB2017.1-1
@article{FedorovCalculation2017,
author = "Fedorov, V. and Grebennikov, P.",
title = "Calculation of long term averages of surface air temperature based on insolation data",
journal = "Geophysical processes and biosphere",
year = 2017,
volume = "16",
number = "1",
pages = "5-22",
doi = "10.21455/GPB2017.1-1",
language = "English"
}
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Keywords: climate change, insolation, surface air temperature, celestial-mechanical processes, inter-latitudinal gradient
Аnnotation: The solar radiation coming to the Earth's ellipsoid is considered without taking into account the atmosphere on the basis of the astronomical ephemerides for the time interval from 3000 BC to 3000 AD. Using the regression equations between the Earth's insolation and near-surface air temperature, the insolation annual and semi-annual climatic norms of near-surface air temperature for the Earth as a whole and the hemispheres are calculated in the intervals of 30 years for the period from 2930 BC to 2930 AD with 100 and 900-1000 years time steps. The analysis results show that the annual insolation rates of the near-surface air temperature of the Earth and the hemispheres decrease at all the intervals. The semi-annual insolation rates of the near-surface air temperature increase in winter and decrease in summer. It means that the seasonal difference decreases. The annual and semi-annual rates of insolation near-surface air temperature of the Earth increase in the equatorial and decrease in the polar regions, the latitudinal contrast increases. The interlatitudinal gradient is higher in the Southern Hemisphere. It practically does not change in winter and increases in summer, most strongly in the Southern Hemisphere.